When a Backtest Looks Good, Stop Improving It
A good backtest creates a dangerous temptation: improve it. EDGE Lab has now frozen its research protocol to test whether a historical hypothesis can survive genuinely new market data.
A good backtest creates a dangerous temptation: improve it. EDGE Lab has now frozen its research protocol to test whether a historical hypothesis can survive genuinely new market data.
If information influences decision quality, another question emerges: can information quality itself be evaluated objectively?
If outcomes are not enough to evaluate decisions, what factors determine decision quality before results become known?
Most people evaluate decisions by outcomes. This research log explores whether decision quality and outcome quality are actually the same thing.
Why do most research projects begin with answers? EdgeLab starts with a different assumption: questions may be more valuable than conclusions.